StatSheet Projects NC State as NCAA Tournament Five Seed: 02/15/2013

Filed under StatSeed Update on February 15th, 2013
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StatSeed is StatSheet's postseason projections for all of Division I, including the NCAA Tournament, National Invitation Tournament (NIT), College Basketball Invitational (CBI), and the CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament (CIT). Read more about how StatSeed is calculated.

StatSheet is projecting NC State to be a five seed in the NCAA Tournament. The Wolfpack are unranked in the AP Poll and sit at #28 in the StatSheet StatRank with a 17-7 overall record and a 6-5 record in the ACC.

During the last four games, NC State grabbed a win against Clemson but also recorded multiple losses to AP #2 Duke and AP #3 Miami (FL).

NC State is underwhelming against top competition, with a 5-6 record against the RPI Top 100 that includes a 3-4 record against the RPI Top 50 and a 1-4 record against AP ranked teams. The Wolfpack have four quality wins including RPI #35 North Carolina, AP #2 Duke, RPI #19 Connecticut, and RPI #49 Massachusetts. Their single bad loss came against RPI #130 Wake Forest.

The last four teams into the NCAA Tournament with at-large bids are Southern Miss (19-6, 8-2 C-USA, StatRank #41), California (15-9, 7-5 Pac 12, StatRank #53), Boise State (16-7, 4-5 Mountain West, StatRank #40), and Alabama (16-8, 8-3 SEC, StatRank #59).

The first four teams out are Florida State (13-11, 5-6 ACC, StatRank #82), Rutgers (13-10, 4-8 Big East, StatRank #78), Texas A&M (15-9, 5-6 SEC, StatRank #75), and Villanova (15-10, 6-6 Big East, StatRank #71).

The next four out are Maryland (17-7, 5-6 ACC, StatRank #72), Massachusetts (16-7, 6-4 A-10, StatRank #47), Charlotte (18-6, 6-4 A-10, StatRank #48), and Tennessee (13-10, 5-6 SEC, StatRank #75).

Regional 1
#1Duke
#2Arizona
#3Gonzaga
#4Colorado
#5Butler
#6New Mexico
#7Illinois
#8Cincinnati
#9Memphis
#10Baylor
#11Iowa State
#12Alabama
#13Akron
#14Bucknell
#15Davidson
#16Montana
#17Niagara
Regional 2
#1Indiana
#2Florida
#3Kansas
#4Georgetown
#5Marquette
#6Oklahoma
#7Kentucky
#8Colorado State
#9UNLV
#10Belmont
#11MTSU
#12Boise State
#13Louisiana Tech
#14FGCU
#15Harvard
#16Northeastern
#17UNCA
Regional 3
#1Miami (FL)
#2Michigan State
#3Louisville
#4Kansas State
#5NC State
#6Oklahoma State
#7Notre Dame
#8Missouri
#9San Diego State
#10La Salle
#11St. John's
#12California
#13Southern Miss
#14Stephen F. Austin
#15Long Beach State
#16Western Illinois
#17SOU
Regional 4
#1Michigan
#2Syracuse
#3Minnesota
#4Ohio State
#5Pittsburgh
#6Wisconsin
#7Oregon
#8North Carolina
#9UCLA
#10Ole Miss
#11Stanford
#12VCU
#13Wichita State
#14Valparaiso
#15Stony Brook
#16Bryant
#17NCCU

NCAA Tourney Projections by Conference


Conf
NCAA
Teams
Conf
Teams
Pct in
NCAA
Big East8 1650.0%
Big Ten7 1258.3%
Pac 126 1250.0%
Big 126 1060.0%
Mountain West5 862.5%
SEC5 1241.7%
ACC4 1233.3%
A-103 1421.4%
C-USA2 1216.7%
Big West1 911.1%
Patriot1 812.5%
Atlantic Sun1 1010.0%
West Coast1 911.1%
Ivy League1 812.5%
Ohio Valley1 119.1%
SoCon1 128.3%
WAC1 812.5%
MAC1 128.3%
Sun Belt1 128.3%
Big Sky1 911.1%
MAAC1 1010.0%
Big South1 119.1%
CAA1 128.3%
SWAC1 1010.0%
Southland1 128.3%
America East1 911.1%
Horizon1 1010.0%
Summit League1 1010.0%
Missouri Valley1 1010.0%
NEC1 128.3%
MEAC1 137.7%

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Season Preview: NCSU is very likely to have a better team than last year. Read our Season Preview
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ACC Standings

OverallConf
1 Virginia 30-7 16-2
2 Syracuse 28-6 14-4
3 Duke 26-9 13-5
3 North Carolina 24-10 13-5
5 Pittsburgh 26-10 11-7
6 Clemson 23-13 10-8
7 Florida State 22-14 9-9
 7NC State 22-14 9-9
7 Maryland 17-15 9-9
10 Miami (FL) 17-16 7-11
11 Wake Forest 17-16 6-12
11 Georgia Tech 16-17 6-12
11 Notre Dame 15-17 6-12
14 Boston College 8-24 4-14
15 Virginia Tech 9-22 2-16
Last updated: Apr 10th, 2014

2013-2014 Roster

#21 BeeJay Anya Fr F 6-9 325
#2 A. Barber Fr G 6-2 165
#30 Staats Battle So G 6-6 191
#15 C. Brickhouse Fr F 6-5 205
#25 Chase Cannon So G 6-5 200
#10 Lennard Freeman Fr F 6-8 235
#1 Trevor Lacey Jr G 6-3 215
#5 Desmond Lee Jr G 6-4 194
#12 Tyler Lewis So G 5-11 157
#34 Jevoni Robinson Jr F 6-8 216
#22 Ralston Turner Jr G 6-5 209
#14 J. Vandenberg Sr C 7-1 264
#20 Patrick Wallace Fr G 6-1 180
#24 T.J. Warren So F 6-8 233
#32 Kyle Washington Fr F 6-9 225